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Avoiding Higher Taxes in Retirement Starts with Smarter Planning

  • Writer: John McDonough
    John McDonough
  • Apr 29, 2024
  • 5 min read

Updated: Dec 9, 2025

Retirement planning is full of assumptions that often fall apart the closer you get to the finish line. Some people believe they will spend less in retirement. Others believe tax rates will drop once they stop working. Many assume market returns will stay consistent enough to support regular withdrawals. The reality is very different.


Those who are five to fifteen years away from retirement face several major threats that can quietly erode their long-term income. Running out of money is the most obvious risk. Increased taxes, market volatility, high fees, and poor income planning create additional pressure that most people do not fully see until it’s too late.


Understanding these risks early gives you the chance to put guard rails around your retirement strategy. A strong plan can help you avoid preventable surprises and keep more control over your future income.


The Five Major Retirement Risks You Cannot Ignore

Many households focus only on saving as much as possible. While saving is important, the location of those savings and the way they are structured matter far more. Retirement security depends on the risks you reduce as much as the money you accumulate.


Here are the core threats that can undermine even the best savers:


●      Running out of money

●      Insufficient income

●      Uncertain tax environments

●      Volatility and sequence of returns

●      The long-term impact of fees


These risks strike in different ways, but they share a common pattern. They all become more serious the closer you get to retirement. Preparing for them early puts you in a much stronger position later.


Why Most People Underestimate Their Retirement Income Needs

A popular rule of thumb suggests retirees need only 70% of their pre-retirement income. That guideline is outdated and has never reflected reality. When people enter retirement, they want the same lifestyle they enjoyed during their working years. They want to travel and spend time with family without constant budgeting.


After two decades of working with retirees, one thing becomes clear: No one wants less income. They want more. Housing may be paid off and children may be grown, but inflation never stops. Costs continue rising long after your paychecks stop.


A closer estimate of real retirement needs is near 100% of pre-retirement income. People want to maintain their current lifestyle, not downgrade it. Inflation and rising living expenses make this especially true in today’s economic environment.


Retirement Confidence Is Often Built on Market Performance

The Employee Benefit Research Institute has tracked retirement confidence for decades. The results show a pattern. Confidence rises when the market rises and falls when the market drops. The issue is that too many people depend on accounts that move directly with market performance.


The confidence statistics highlight this:


●      73% feel somewhat or very confident.

●      Only 28% feel truly confident.

●      27% admit they aren’t confident at all.


Most of today’s retirement assets sit inside 401(k)s and IRAs. These accounts are often allocated aggressively without a withdrawal strategy. As a result, confidence becomes an emotional reaction to the market rather than a reflection of real preparation.


The Uncertain Tax Environment Waiting for Future Retirees

One of the most overlooked threats is the future tax environment. Many people assume they will be in a lower tax bracket during retirement. That assumption only holds if tax rates remain low, which is unlikely.


Here are a few realities:


●      The highest federal tax rate has averaged 57% since 1913.

●      Today’s top rate is only 37%.

●      Government deficits exceed $1.8 trillion per year.

●      Long-term liabilities continue to grow.


When expenses rise and revenue falls, governments turn to tax increases. That means future retirees may pay more tax on their retirement income than expected. Anyone relying heavily on qualified plans may face significant tax pressure when withdrawing money.


Volatility and Sequence of Returns Risk Can Undermine Even Large Accounts

Market volatility alone creates challenges, but sequence of returns risk is the real threat to long-term income. This occurs when the order of market returns works against you. A 6% average return looks stable on paper, but real markets do not move in straight lines.


To illustrate the problem, compare two scenarios:


  1. A flat 6% return for 29 straight years

  2. A 6% average return with ups and downs along the way


The first scenario allows a retiree to take $50,000 per year from a $1 million account with inflation adjustments. That account lasts until age 89. The second scenario, which reflects real market behavior, produces very different results. If strong returns come early, the account lasts until age 93. If weak returns come early, the retiree runs out by age 80.


Married couples face even greater pressure. There is more than a 50% chance that one spouse will live to age 92. Running out of money at 80 leaves a long period of exposure with no income.


This is the danger of withdrawals without protection. Market timing becomes accidental. No one can control the sequence of returns, but you can build safeguards around it.


The Role of Financial Products That Help Protect Retirement Income

Retirement income planning is not only about investment growth. It requires protection from early losses and unpredictable markets and rising taxes. Certain financial tools provide features that strengthen the plan and create stability.


Characteristics to consider include:


●      Protection from premature death

●      Index-based interest crediting

●      Guaranteed minimum interest

●      Supplemental tax-favored income

●      Access to funds without penalties


Not all financial products offer these benefits, which is why choosing the right structure matters.


Why Not All Savings Accounts Are Equal

People often compare IRAs, Roth IRAs, qualified plans, annuities, mutual funds, and other investment accounts without understanding how each one behaves. Each account type has different tax rules, contribution limits, penalty structures, and distribution methods.


One account type stands out for long-term planning flexibility. Properly designed cash value life insurance can provide:


●      No IRS contribution limits

●      Tax-deferred accumulation

●      Access to tax-free distributions

●      No early withdrawal penalties

●      Income tax-free death benefits

●      Index-linked growth potential

●      Living benefits for certain health events

●      Liquidity and long-term control


Unlike many retirement accounts, the value of a well-structured policy becomes more efficient over time. When planned correctly, internal costs drop each year, eventually falling below the ongoing fees of many managed investment accounts.


Some strategies even show break-even points around year thirteen or fourteen. Beyond that, the advantages compound. This can create tax-favored retirement income that outperforms traditional accounts in both longevity and stability.


A Smarter Path Toward Tax-Efficient Retirement Income

Avoiding higher taxes in retirement is about building a plan that creates flexibility no matter what happens. A diversified structure that includes tax-deferred tools, tax-exempt tools, income protection, and volatility guard rails offers far greater security than relying on a single account type.


If you want your retirement assets to last, and you want control over how your income is taxed, it is important to consider all available options. Properly-structured life insurance is not the entire answer, but it is a powerful piece of a strong retirement strategy.



 
 
 

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